Probability at Berkeley
“It is remarkable that a science which began with the consideration of games of chance should have become the most important object of human knowledge.”
—Pierre Simon, Marquis de Laplace, Théorie Analytique des Probabilités

This is the homepage of the UC Berkeley Probability Group. The probability group includes faculty, postdocs, and students from the Departments of Statistics, Mathematics, and EECS at Berkeley. The group also includes, at any given time, a number of visitors and a number of faculty in other fields with interests in probability.
The group’s research interests span a broad array of topics in probability including random walks and Brownian motion, Markov chains, percolation, superprocesses, random matrices, random trees, combinatorial stochastic processes, phylogenetics, mathematical finance, and particle systems.
The group holds a weekly Probability Seminar and is often involved in programs and workshops at SLMath (previously MSRI) and the Simons Institute. Students in the group also run the Student Probability Seminar, a place to discover new topics in probability and learn about each other’s research in a more casual setting.
Feel free to join our mailing list for more events and updates.
Events
- Student Probability Seminar on Wednesdays, 2:00-3:00pm, Evans 891
- Probability Seminar on Wednesdays, 3:00-4:00pm, Evans 334
News
Recent Papers
Last updated March 05, 2026. See more here.
Fluctuations in the weakly coupled 4D Anderson Hamiltonian (Feb 26, 2026) Simon Gabriel, Tommaso Rosati
Fast, High-Accuracy, Randomized Nullspace Computations for Tall Matrices (Feb 18, 2026) Ethan N. Epperly, Taejun Park, Yuji Nakatsukasa
Finite Free Information Inequalities (Feb 17, 2026) Jorge Garza-Vargas, Nikhil Srivastava, Zachary Stier
Linear Systems and Eigenvalue Problems: Open Questions from a Simons Workshop (Feb 05, 2026) Noah Amsel, Yves Baumann, Paul Beckman, Peter Bürgisser, Chris Camaño et al.
First Proof (Feb 05, 2026) Mohammed Abouzaid, Andrew J. Blumberg, Martin Hairer, Joe Kileel, Tamara G. Kolda et al.
The matrix-vector complexity of \(Ax=b\) (Feb 04, 2026) Michał Dereziński, Ethan N. Epperly, Raphael A. Meyer
Macroscopic asymptotics in discrete beta-ensembles and random tilings (Jan 23, 2026) Gaëtan Borot, Vadim Gorin, Alice Guionnet
Wasserstein distances between ERGMs and Erdős-Rényi models (Jan 20, 2026) Vilas Winstein
Approximate FKG inequalities for phase-bound spin systems (Jan 12, 2026) Satyaki Mukherjee, Vilas Winstein
van den Berg-Kesten–type correlation inequalities for disjoint polymers in the KPZ universality class (Dec 19, 2025) Shirshendu Ganguly, Milind Hegde, Lingfu Zhang