Probability at Berkeley
“It is remarkable that a science which began with the consideration of games of chance should have become the most important object of human knowledge.”
—Pierre Simon, Marquis de Laplace, Théorie Analytique des Probabilités
This is the homepage of the UC Berkeley Probability Group. The probability group includes faculty, postdocs, and students from the Departments of Statistics, Mathematics, and EECS at Berkeley. The group also includes, at any given time, a number of visitors and a number of faculty in other fields with interests in probability.
The group’s research interests span a broad array of topics in probability including random walks and Brownian motion, Markov chains, percolation, superprocesses, random matrices, random trees, combinatorial stochastic processes, phylogenetics, mathematical finance, and particle systems.
The group holds a weekly Probability Seminar and is often involved in programs and workshops at SLMath (previously MSRI) and the Simons Institute. Students in the group also run the Student Probability Seminar, a place to discover new topics in probability and learn about each other’s research in a more casual setting.
Feel free to join our mailing list for more events and updates.
Events
- Student Probability Seminar on Wednesdays, 2:00-3:00pm, Evans 891
- Probability Seminar on Wednesdays, 3:00-4:00pm, Evans 334
News
Recent Papers
Last updated May 07, 2026. Papers from the last 6 months. See more here.
arXiv:2605.01628v1 PDF stat.ML, cs.LG, math.ST
arXiv:2603.18053v1 PDF cs.SI, cs.CY, econ.GN
arXiv:2603.02714v1 PDF math.PR, cs.IT, math.ST
arXiv:2602.22509v1 PDF math.PR, math.AP
arXiv:2602.16797v1 PDF math.NA
arXiv:2602.16142v2 PDF math.ST, cs.CG, cs.LG
arXiv:2602.05394v2 PDF math.NA, cs.DS
arXiv:2602.04842v2 PDF cs.DS, math.NA, math.OC
arXiv:2601.16377v2 PDF math.PR, math-ph
arXiv:2601.14170v1 PDF math.PR, cond-mat.stat-mech, cs.DM
arXiv:2601.07169v1 PDF math.PR, cond-mat.stat-mech, cs.DM
arXiv:2512.17823v2 PDF math.PR, math-ph
arXiv:2512.15929v1 PDF math.NA, cs.DS, stat.CO
arXiv:2512.13664v1 PDF math.AP, math.MG, math.OC
arXiv:2511.07350v1 PDF math.PR, cond-mat.stat-mech, cs.DM